How about Some Positive Suggestions?
Now that I have your
attention, I will give you a few positive suggestions regarding trading
discipline. Again, I will attempt to avoid standard recommendations.
Begin with a Simple Trading
System. My
years of research have revealed one important thing: The simplest trading
systems often work best. Yes, I know all about the claims and the hypothetical
performance records. I know all about the optimized systems and the black box
systems and the virtues of artificial intelligence. But I keep coming back to
the same conclusion as a result of my research: Simple systems work best. Once
you have experienced profits using a simple method, you can experiment with
complex systems and decide for yourself.
Be Independent, Isolate Yourself, and
Remain Pure. The
trader's mind is a delicate
machine. It is easily affected by the many inputs that daily impinge on the
decision-making process. The futures market thrives on opinions, mass
psychology, emotion, news, and rumors. The less you hear, the better off
you'll be.
Most systems are correct
between 50 and 65 percent of the time; however, even this 15 percent margin
above chance occurrence is obviously not a large margin of safety. By allowing
the input of others to affect you, this margin may be neutralized and you will
lose your advantage. The ability to clearly see the markets is a great asset.
Don't Read the Market News. If
you subscribe to one of the two daily U.S. financial papers, do so for
technical data only. The news reports and opinions of the reporting staff are
poison unless, of course, you can train yourself to do the opposite of what the
majority recommends.
Don't Get More than Two Advisory Services. Actually,
you're better off with one or none. If you get one service, follow it as
closely as you can. Don't pick and choose from among its recommendations.
Follow all recommendations or follow none. Most traders pick and choose wrong.
Use a Discount Broker. Unless
you do business with a broker who is also your advisor, use a discount broker
who will not bother you with opinions or pressure you with trading ideas. If
you decide on a broker who will also advise you, make sure it is one with
considerable experience who is not in business for the simple purpose of
generating commissions. Although difficult to find, such brokers are definitely
out there.
Don't Discuss Your Trades with Anyone. Discussing
your trades, signals, methods, or indicators with other traders only infects
them with your ideas and you with theirs. Confusion will be the end result.
Don't Read Popular Trading Magazines. Most
are full of ideas that don't work. If you have arrived at your goal of self-discipline,
read all you want. Otherwise, avoid trading.
Category: Methods of Daytrading
|