Premium is the dollar amount of the option
аAll too often, the premium on options is higher than it should be,
based on the length of time the option has remaining and the value of the
underlying market. Floor brokers mark up the premiums so that they can profit.
In other words, they buy their options or create their options (by taking a
short position) at wholesale prices, yet they sell them to the public at
retail, making money on the difference.
Time decay is
the perennial enemy of the options buyer but the eternal friend of the options
seller. Since the vast majority of options expires worthless, it's the options
seller that makes the money, while the options buyer watches his or her trade
slowly lose value over time. Unless you are timely with your options entry and
unless you pay a reasonably low premium for your option, your odds of success
are relatively low.
A third and equally
important options concept is delta. Very
few traders have ever heard of delta and fewer yet understand its implications.
Delta, in simple terms, is the degree with which an options contract fluctuates
with its underlying futures contract. A delta of 90 percent (0.9) means that
the option will go up or down about 90 percent of the amount that the futures
market goes up or down. Options with low deltas tend to be options that have a
very low probability of becoming profitable unless
the market makes a relatively fast and large move in the desired
direction.
An option for which you
paid a high premium, that is close to expiration, and that has a low delta is,
therefore, highly unlikely to be profitable other than in the most unexpected
of circumstances. Yet such options are low in price and often attract the
unsophisticated trader. Mind you, I am not saying that money cannot be made in
options trading. I am merely stating that being a buyer of options is not where
you will experience the greatest odds of success. mined amount of money, the
odds are that you will lose it. This is a
variation on the theme of "if you buy you lose; if you sell you lose; but
if you don't trade, you're missing a great opportunity.''
At first blush, the idea of
futures options seems reasonable and rational. After all, since most traders
lose their money by staying with a position too long or by thinking too much,
the idea of a fixed loss is very appealing. However, there are three important
issues that many traders fail to consider and that many promoters of options
fail to address: delta, premium, and time decay.
Premium is
the dollar amount of the option. All too often, the premium on options is
higher than it should be, based on the length of time the option has remaining
and the value of the underlying market. Floor brokers mark up the premiums so
that they can profit. In other words, they buy their options or create their
options (by taking a short position) at wholesale prices, yet they sell them to
the public at retail, making money on the difference.
Time decay is
the perennial enemy of the options buyer but the eternal friend of the options
seller. Since the vast majority of options expires worthless, it's the options
seller that makes the money, while the options buyer watches his or her trade
slowly lose value over time. Unless you are timely with your options entry and
unless you pay a reasonably low premium for your option, your odds of success
are relatively low.
A third and equally
important options concept is delta. Very
few traders have ever heard of delta and fewer yet understand its implications.
Delta, in simple terms, is the degree with which an options contract fluctuates
with its underlying futures contract. A delta of 90 percent (0.9) means that
the option will go up or down about 90 percent of the amount that the futures
market goes up or down. Options with low deltas tend to be options that have a
very low probability of becoming profitable unless
the market makes a relatively fast and large move in the desired
direction.
An option for which you
paid a high premium, that is close to expiration, and that has a low delta is,
therefore, highly unlikely to be profitable other than in the most unexpected
of circumstances. Yet such options are low in price and often attract the
unsophisticated trader. Mind you, I am not saying that money cannot be made in
options trading. I am merely stating that being a buyer of options is not where
you will experience the greatest odds of success.
Category: Methods of Daytrading
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