What You Can Expect
The SP technique has been tested extensively on historical data dating
back to the 1960s. Using various combinations of percentages to trigger SP
entry (i.e., 75 percent, 65 percent, 60 percent for buying; 25 percent, 15
percent, 30 percent for selling), I have found that the accuracy of SP in terms
of follow-through is high. Even in a large sample size such as the one I
tested, accuracies in terms of follow through in the direction of the signal as
high as 65 percent were not uncommon during certain time frames. However, since
the SP method both in its original form and in the aggressive mode is more of a
method than a solid mechanical sysВэtem, results in terms of application will
vary from trader to trader. Although I will not guarantee definitive
performance results since all traders trade differently, I can tell you that if you use both the original SP and
aggressive SP methods consistently and with close attention in terms of
follow-up stops, you can do extremely well.
Preferred Markets for SP Application
Although SP signals will occur in virtually every market, the day trader
is looking specifically at those markets which have a high tick value and
sufficient volatility to generate meaningful moves within the day time frame.
The old standbys, S&P, Swiss franc, British pound, T-bonds, crude oil,
heating oil, etc., should definitely be considered as day-trade candidates.
However, there are other markets which, subsequent to major news items,
reports, and other fundamentally inspired events can also yield outstanding
day-trade pop opportunities. These should be considered as well. I refer
specifically to such markets as cotton, lumber, pork bellies, and soy beans.
Category: Day trader
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