What are the contents and uses of a financial plan?
Most firms take financial planning seriously and
devote considerable resources to it. The tangible product of the planning
process is a financial plan describing
the firm`s financial strategy and projecting its future consequences by means
of pro forma balance sheets, income statements, and statements of sources and uses of funds.
The plan establishes financial goals and is a benchmark for evaluating
subsequent performance. Usually it also
describes why that strategy was chosen and how the plan`s financial goals are
to be achieved.
Planning, if it is done right, forces the financial
manager to think about events that could upset the firm`s progress and to
devise strategies to be held in reserve
for counterattack when unfortunate surprises occur. Planning is more than
forecasting, because forecasting deals with the most likely outcome. Planners also have to think about events that may
occur even though they are unlikely.
In long-range, or strategic, planning, the planning horizon is usually 5 years or more. This kind of planning
deals with aggregate decisions; for
example, the planner would worry about whether the broadax division
should commit to heavy capital investment and rapid growth, but not whether the division should choose machine
tool A versus tool B. In fact, planners must be constantly on guard against the
fascination of detail, because giving
in to it means slighting crucial issues like investment strategy, debt policy,
and the choice of a target dividend payout ratio.
The plan is the end result. The process that produces
the plan is valuable in its own right. Planning forces the financial manager to
consider the combined effects of all
the firm`s investment and financing decisions. This is important because these
decisions interact and should not be made independently.
How are financial planning models constructed?
There is no theory or model that leads straight to the optimal
financial strategy. Consequently,
financial planning proceeds by trial and error. Many different strategies may be projected under a range of
assumptions about the future before one strategy is finally chosen. The dozens
of separate projections that may be
made during this trial-and-error process generate a heavy load of arithmetic
and paperwork. Firms have responded by
developing corporate planning models to forecast the financial consequences of
specified strategies and assumptions about the
future. One very simple starting point may be a percentage of sales model in which many key variables are assumed to be directly
proportional to sales. Planning models
are efficient and widely used. But remember that there is not much finance in
them. Their primary purpose is to
produce accounting statements. The models do not search for the best
financial strategy, but only trace out the consequences of a strategy specified
by the model user.
What is the effect of growth on the need for external
financing?
Higher growth rates will lead to greater need for
investments in fixed assets and working capital. The internal growth rate is the maximum rate
that the firm can grow if it relies entirely on reinvested profits to
finance its growth, that is, the maximum rate of growth without requiring external financing. The sustainable growth rate is the rate at which the firm can grow without
changing its leverage ratio.
Category: Cash flows
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