W. D. Gann Principle
Techniques from another trading
legend
of the past still have things to
offer
in today's volatile markets.
Anyone who has read the
history of stock and commodity markets from the early part of this century is
familiar with Jay Gould, Daniel Drew, the wheat corners of Joseph Leiter and,
of course, the great bear of Wall Street, Jesse Livermore.
Many of these men gained
their fame and fortunes through pools, corners and manipulation rather than
through market knowledge. While their sagas of daring, with millions won and
lost in a day, are fascinating reading, what is less known is that many of them
died broke and broken men.
Discovering Gann
During the early 1900s, a
much less known young stock and commodity broker by the name of William D. Gann
was trading these same markets in a different manner with remarkable success.
So much so that Gann's philosophy and trading record gained the attention of a
magazine called The Ticker and Investment Digest. In 1909 the magazine
published a four-page interview with Gann, recounting his trading record for
one month as observed by the magazine's reporter.
Gann's forecasts of price
movements and his ability to multiply money was mind-boggling, not only for
traders of that era but by any standard of today. For example, he would predict
that a stock that was trading at 165 would go to 184 7/8 but not to 185, and it
would do exactly that.
To quote from the article,
"During the month of October 1909 in 25 market days, Mr. Gann made, in the
presence of our representative, 286 transactions in various stocks, on both the
long and short side of the market. Of these transactions, 264 resulted in
profits, 22 in losses.
"The capital with
which he operated has doubled 10 times so that at the end of the month he had 1,000%
of his original margin. We have seen him give in one day 16 successive orders
in the same stock, eight of which turned out to be at either the top or bottom
eighth of that particular swing."
Mathematical Key
When questioned in the
article about his methods, Gann said that each stock and commodity had its own
center of gravity-mathematical points of force governed by the natua al Laws of
Vibration. But, in fact, he was quite unwilling at that stage to reveal any
specifics about how he was able to achieve such spectacular results.
Gann published a novel in
the early 1920s titled "The Tunnel Thru the Air," which was a thinly
disguised autobiography and a specific forecast of World War II. The book is a
paradox in that it has a strong puritanically religious and moral theme with
many biblical references throughout, but Gann also cast himself as the
"Supreme Commander" and savior of the world in a Buck Rogers type
swashbuckling adventure!
The book was the ultimate
ego-trip, but perhaps it's not too difficult to understand that Gann may have
seen himself as omnipotent in that period of his life. After all, making
millions in the market can certainly distort your view of yourself.
Fortunately, this attitude
did not persist. A few years later Gann began to write in detail and publish
the methods and techniques he had discovered. This ongoing process was to
continue throughout his life. It became apparent in his writing that he
developed an almost religious humility about sharing his gifts of knowledge
with others. He ended one of his early courses with the homey little poem.
He who has the truth and kept it,
Keeps what not to him belongs;
Keep a pearl from him who needs it,
And a fellow mortal wrongs.
Category: Daytrading
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