A Complete Trading System
The Turtle
Trading System was a Complete Trading System, one that covered every aspect
of trading, and left virtually no
decision to the subjective whims of the trader.
M ost successful traders use a mechanical
trading system. This is no coincidence. A good mechanical trading system automates the entire process of
trading. The system provides answers for each of the decisions a trader must make while trading. The system makes it
easier for a trader to trade consistently because there is a set of rules which specifically define exactly what
should be done. The mechanics of trading are not left up to the judgment of the
trader.
If you know that your system makes
money over the long run, it is easier to take the signals and trade
according to the system during periods
of losses. If you are relying on your own judgment during trading, you may
find that you are fearful just when you
should be bold, and courageous when you should be cautious.
If you have a mechanical trading
system that works, and you follow it consistently, your trading will be consistent despite the inner emotional
struggles that might come from a long series of losses, or a large profit. The confidence, consistency, and discipline
afforded by a thoroughly tested mechanical system are the key to many of the most profitable traders`
success.
The Turtle Trading System was a
Complete Trading System. Its rules covered every aspect of trading, and left
no decisions to the subjective whims of
the trader. It had every component of a Complete Trading System.
The
Components of a Complete System
A Complete Trading
System covers each of the decisions required for successful trading:
Markets
- What to buy or sell
Position Sizing - How much to buy or sell
Entries
- When to buy or sell
Stops -
When to get out of a losing position
Exits -
When to get out of a winning position
Tactics
- How to buy or sell
Markets – What to buy or sell
The first decision is
what to buy and sell, or essentially, what markets to trade. If you trade too
few markets you greatly reduce your
chances of getting aboard a trend. At the same time, you don`t want to trade markets
that have too low a trading volume, or
that don`t trend well.
Position Sizing – How much to buy or sell
The decision about how
much to buy or sell is absolutely fundamental, and yet is often glossed over or
handled improperly by most traders.
How much to buy or sell
affects both diversification and money management. Diversification is an
attempt to spread risk across many
instruments, and to increase the opportunity for profit by increasing the
opportunities for catching successful
trades. Proper diversification requires making similar, if not identical bets
on many different instruments. Money
management is really about controlling risk by not betting so much that you
run out of money before the good trends
come. How much to buy or sell is the single most important aspect of trading. Most beginning traders risk far too
much on each trade, and greatly increase their chances of going bust, even if
they have an otherwise valid trading style.
Entries – When to buy or sell
The decision of when to
buy or sell is often called the entry decision. Automated systems generate
entry signals which define the exact
price and market conditions to enter the market, whether by buying or selling.
Stops – When to get out of a losing position
Traders who do not cut
their losses will not be successful in the long term. The most important thing
about cutting your losses is to
predefine the point where you will get out before you enter a position.
Exits – When to get out of a winning position
Many "trading systems”
that are sold as complete trading systems do not specifically address the exit
of winning positions. Yet the question
of when to get out of a winning position is crucial to the profitability of the
system. Any trading system that does
not address the exit of winning positions is not a Complete Trading System.
Tactics – How to buy or sell
Once a signal has been
generated, tactical considerations regarding the mechanics of execution
become important. This is especially
true for larger accounts, where the entry and exit of positions can result
in  significant adverse price movement,
or market impact.
Summary
Using a mechanical
system is the best way to consistently make money trading. If you know that
your system makes money over the long
run, it is easier to take the signals and follow the system during periods of
losses. If you rely on your own
judgment, during trading you may find that you are fearful just when you should
be courageous, or courageous when you
should be fearful.
If you have a profitable
mechanical trading system, and you follow it religiously, then your trading
will be profitable, and the system will
help you survive the emotional struggles that inevitably result from a long
series of losses, or large profits. The
trading system that was used by the Turtles was a Complete Trading System.
This  was a major factor in our
success. Our system made it easier to trade consistently, and successfully,
because it did not leave important decisions to the discretion of the trader.
Category: Methods of technical analysis
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