Advance-Decline Ratio
The
Advance-Decline Ratio is also market breadth indicator. It is calculated by
dividing the number of advancing issues by the number of declining issues using
daily or weekly NYSE data. It works very well as an overbought/oversold
indicator and as a momentum indicator. A moving average should be used to
smooth out the swings.
This
chart shows you the weekly NYSE Advance-Decline Ratio on a 10-week moving
average. Readings below 90 indicate intermediate bottoms and readings above 170
tops.
Upside-Downside
Volume Ratio
The
Upside-Downside Volume Ratio is also market breadth indicator. It is calculated
by dividing the volume of advancing issues by the volume of declining issues,
using daily or weekly NYSE data. It works very well as an overbought/oversold
indicator and as well as a momentum indicator. A moving average should be used
to smooth out the swings.
Upside-Downside
Volume Line
The
Upside-Downside Volume Line is a market breadth indicator and should be
compared to the other market indices like the Dow Jones or S&P 500. Daily
or weekly NYSE data is used in the calculation. Because the Upside-Downside
Volume Line reflects the action of the general market, any divergences are
watched closely by market technicians. As long as the Dow and the
Upside-Downside Volume Line are moving in the same direction the trend will
continue. If the Dow makes a new high which is not confirmed by a high of the
Upside-Downside Volume Line, caution is warranted. It is more affirmative than
the Advance-Decline Line and it gave a perfect sell signal in January 2000,
when the Dow made a new high and the Upside-Downside Volume Line lagged behind
(charts below). Vice versa, if the Dow makes a new low and the Upside-Downside
Volume Line doesn't, you should cover your short sales. To calculate your own
weekly Upside-Downside Volume Line is very simple and you can begin your
calculations at any time. Just pick a large enough base number like 1000000.
Then you calculate each week (or day) the difference between the upside volume
and downside volume by adding the volume of advancing issues and subtracting
the volume of declining issues. If you have an upside volume of 673210 and a
downside volume of 732827 on your first week, the reading of your newly created
weekly Upside-Downside Volume Line would be 940383 (example below).
Here
is a beautiful example of the Upside-Downside Volume Line. Volume moves the
markets and this indicator gave a perfect sell signal in December 1999, when
the Dow made a new high and the Upside-Downside Volume Line didn't. It would
have kept you also on the right side of the market right to the top.
Upside-Downside
Volume Net Difference
Another
method used by market technicians is to calculate the net difference between
the upside- and downside volume. Daily or weekly data can be used. The net
difference between upside- and downside volume is calculated weekly and the
result is added. To smooth out the swings, a 10-week moving average should be
applied. Below there is an example for weekly calculations:
Advance-Decline
Net Difference
Another
method used by market technicians is to calculate the net difference between
advances and declines. Daily or weekly data can be used. The net difference
between advances and declines is calculated weekly and the result is added. To
smooth out the swings, a 10-week moving average is applied. Below there is an
example for weekly calculations:
The
chart went from extremely overbought in July 1997 to heavily oversold in
September 1998:
Global Futures Advance-Decline Index
This
indicator is calculated by dividing the weekly number of advances and declines
by the number of total issues traded. A 10-week moving average is applied to
smooth out the swings.
Global
Futures Upside-Downside Volume Index
This
indicator is calculated by dividing the weekly upside and downside volumes by
the weekly total volume. A 10-week moving average is applied to smooth out the
swings.
Category: Methods of technical analysis
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