Markets: What the Turtles Traded
The
Turtles traded liquid futures that traded on U.S. exchanges in Chicago and New
York.
T
he Turtles
were futures traders, at the time more popularly called commodities traders. We
traded futures contracts on the most
popular U.S. commodities exchanges.
Since we were trading
millions of dollars, we could not trade markets that only traded a few hundred
contracts per day because that would
mean that the orders we generated would move the market so much that it would
be too difficult to enter and exit
positions without taking large losses. The Turtles traded only the most liquid
markets.
In general, the Turtles
traded all liquid U.S. markets except the grains and the meats. Since Richard
Dennis was already trading the full
position limits for his own account, he could not permit us to trade grains for
him without exceeding the exchange’s
position limits.
We did not trade the
meats because of a corruption problem with the floor traders in the meat pits.
Some years after the Turtles disbanded,
the FBI conducted a major sting operation in the Chicago meat pits and
indicted many traders for price
manipulation and other forms of corruption. The following is a list of the
futures markets traded by the Turtles:
Chicago Board of Trade
30 Year
U.S. Treasury Bond
10 Year
U.S. Treasury Note
New York Coffee Cocoa and Sugar
Exchange
Coffee
Cocoa
Sugar
Cotton
Chicago Mercantile Exchange
Swiss Franc
Deutschmark
British Pound
French Franc
Japanese Yen
Canadian Dollar
S&P 500 Stock
Index
Eurodollar
90 Day U.S.
Treasury Bill Comex
Gold
Silver
Copper New York
Mercantile Exchange
Crude Oil
Heating Oil
Unleaded Gas
The Turtles were given the
discretion of not trading any of the commodities on the list. However, if a
trader chose not to trade a particular
market, then he was not to trade that market at all. We were not supposed to
trade markets inconsistently.
Liquidity
The
primary criterion used to determine the futures that could be traded by the
Turtles was the liquidity of the underlying markets.
Position
Sizing
The
Turtles used a volatility-based constant percentage risk position sizing
algorithm.
P
osition
sizing is one of the most important but least understood components of any
trading system.
The Turtles used a
position sizing algorithm that was very advanced for its day, because it
normalized the dollar volatility of a
position by adjusting the position size based on the dollar volatility of the
market. This meant that a given
position would tend to move up or down in a given day about the same amount in
dollar terms (when
compared to positions in
other markets), irrespective of the underlying volatility of the particular
market.
This is true because
positions in markets that moved up and down a large amount per contract would
have an offsetting smaller number of contracts than positions in markets that
had lower volatility.
This volatility
normalization is very important because it means that different trades in
different markets tend to have the same
chance for a particular dollar loss or a particular dollar gain. This increased
the effectiveness of the
diversification of trading across many markets.
Even if the volatility
of a given market was lower, any significant trend would result in a sizeable
win because the Turtles would have held
more contracts of that lower volatility commodity.
Category: Methods of technical analysis
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